Rockies vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 12

Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
  • The Rangers are -300 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Rockies / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | ROTV

The Colorado Rockies (+200) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-250) on Monday, May 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Rockies are 6-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 21-18 ATS.

Rockies vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rockies starting pitcher: Chase Dollander 2-3, 7.72 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 3-1, 1.49 ERA

Rockies vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 +115O 8.5 +100+200
Rangers -1.5 -140U 8.5 -120-250

Rockies vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 68.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Beck has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+11.50 Units / 192% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+7.60 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tyler Mahle has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 18 away games (+11.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+7.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.15 Units / 17% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-27 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -37.71% ROI).

  • 6-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -24 Units / -60.53% ROI
  • 16-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -18.95% ROI
  • 22-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 10.1% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 21-18 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.92% ROI).

  • 19-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -6.49% ROI
  • 13-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.1 Units / -37.14% ROI
  • 27-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.65 Units / 28.33% ROI

Rangers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Joc Pederson (TEX) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Rangers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Beck (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Josh H. Smith (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180

Rangers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Joc Pederson (TEX) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Rangers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chase Dollander (COL) 3.5 -165 3.5 +130
Tyler Mahle (TEX) 5.5 -150 5.5 +115

Chase Dollander has allowed an OPS of 1.853 (32 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 1.015 — 0 Percentile.

Chase Dollander has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.304 (30 Total Bases / 23 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .567 — 0 Percentile.

Chase Dollander has an ERA of 7.71 (28.0 IP)this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 3.91 — fourth Percentile.

Chase Dollander has allowed an OPS of .904 (130 PA’s) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .707 — fifth Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Mahle has allowed a slugging percentage of just .177 (11 Total Bases / 62 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has allowed an OPS of just .428 (73 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .701 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has allowed an OPS of just .505 (166 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 97th Percentile.

Tyler Mahle has located his pitches away 65% of the time (109/167) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Rockies are just 57-9 (.851) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Rockies are just 108-15 (.871) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Rockies are just 48-132 (.265) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Rangers were 39-8 (.830) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Rangers were just 10-42 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Rangers are just 10-135 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Rangers were just 10-59 (.145) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Rockies have won just 29% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 29% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .280 (6,651 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .635 (6,651 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Rangers hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Rangers are batting just .301 in hitter’s counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .346 (1,624 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.