- The Twins are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rockies / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | ROTV
The Colorado Rockies (+165) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-200) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Rockies are 23-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 30-36 ATS.
Rockies vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 5-4, 3.59 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-4, 9.01 ERA
Rockies vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -120 | +165 |
| Twins | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 +100 | -200 |
Rockies vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 away games (+18.00 Units / 112% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.60 Units / 212% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+13.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.79 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+6.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+1.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 33-33 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -7.9% ROI).
- 23-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -7.29% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -4.41% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -4.4% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 30-36 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -11.25% ROI).
- 35-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -3.38% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -13.14% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 4.19% ROI
Twins vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Twins vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Twins vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Louie Varland (MIN) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Cal Quantrill (COL) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (55/298) against Cal Quantrill this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has not struck out any hitters in 22 PA’s against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of just .199 (31 Total Bases / 156 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .344 — 100th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 65% of the time (402/618) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Louie Varland in the 2023 season was 412.5 feet — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Louie Varland has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH in the 2023 season (192 balls in play) — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Louie Varland allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH (192 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — seventh Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rockies are just 43-30 (.589) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 20-19 (.513) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 58-27 (.682) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 57-35 (.620) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Twins are 16-88 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Twins are just 6-12 (.333) after a road loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Twins are 21-13 (.618) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Twins are 22-75 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .302 (2,345 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .154 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 69 total hits (46%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Twins hitters have drawn 32 walks in 602 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,070 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 172 of 2,438 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 615 of 8,466 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 137 of 2,038 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Rockies vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
