- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Angels
- Royals vs Angels Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Angels TV Channel: ATV+
The Kansas City Royals (-125) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+105) on Friday, May 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Royals are 23-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 18-20 ATS.
Royals vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 3-0, 2.70 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 1-4, 6.69 ERA
Royals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -125 |
| Angels | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -115 | +105 |
Royals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+17.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+13.80 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games at home (+17.90 Units / 163% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+8.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.59 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 25-14 against the Run Line (+8.59 Units / 15.69% ROI).
- 23-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 19.69% ROI
- 14-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -24.31% ROI
- 22-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 15.93% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 18-20 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -19.52% ROI).
- 14-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -20.51% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 5.23% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -14.44% ROI
Angels vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Angels vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Angels vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Angels vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (LAA) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (12/21) against Alec Marsh on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of just .486 (78 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .707 — 92nd Percentile.
Alec Marsh has struck out just 14% (11/78) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.
Alec Marsh has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (130/297) vs left-handed batters this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 93rd Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has not struck out any hitters in 25 PA’s in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of 1.060 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .640 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .679 (36 Total Bases / 53 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .360 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 53% (117/222) of the time this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 20-14 (.588) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 20-45 (.308) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels are just 60-29 (.674) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Angels are just 20-99 (.168) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Angels are just 31-78 (.284) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Angels are just 24-140 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,557 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals are batting just .187 when leading off an inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .634 (1,047 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,047 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Angels have won just 43% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
Angels hitters have 2,552 strikeouts in 9,932 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 6.13 (144.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Angels pitchers have walked 189 of 1,769 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 311 of 3,209 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 15% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Angels vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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