Royals vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 11

Los Angeles Angels left fielder Taylor Ward (3) singles during the fifth inning of a baseball game against the Houston Astros, Friday, July 14, 2023, in Anaheim, Calif.
(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)
  • The Royals are -145 favorites vs the Angels
  • Royals vs Angels Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Royals / Angels TV Channel: BSKC | MLBN | BSW

The Kansas City Royals (-155) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+130) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Royals are 24-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 19-20 ATS.

Royals vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 2-2, 3.40 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 2-4, 2.74 ERA

Royals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals-1.5 +110O 8 -105-155
Angels +1.5 -130U 8 -115+130

Royals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+16.30 Units / 74% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.25 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games at home (+24.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+10.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Zach Neto has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Zach Neto has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 25-15 against the Run Line (+7.59 Units / 13.61% ROI).

  • 24-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.8 Units / 21.35% ROI
  • 14-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -26.42% ROI
  • 23-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 17.89% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 19-20 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -17.33% ROI).

  • 14-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -22.48% ROI
  • 20-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 2.31% ROI
  • 17-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -11.75% ROI

Angels vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Hunter Renfroe (KC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Nelson Velazquez (KC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Angels vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Maikel Garcia (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Angels vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Hunter Renfroe (KC) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Nelson Velazquez (KC) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Angels vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Anderson (LAA) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Cole Ragans (KC) 7.5 -120 7.5 -110

Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 33% (24 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (3-for-20) against Cole Ragans on low fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 88th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has an ERA of 0.47 (19.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.76 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .378 (14-for-37) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — third Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 6% (2 SO in 32 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

21 of Tyler Anderson’s 32 strikeouts (66%) have come on changeups this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (49/174) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (213/475) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Royals are just 57-121 (.320) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Royals are just 10-47 (.175) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Angels are just 20-99 (.168) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Angels are just 140-13 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Angels are just 60-29 (.674) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.

The Angels are just 7-90 (.072) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,594 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,048 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Angels hitters have 2,560 strikeouts in 9,964 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Angels have a winning percentage of just 23% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

The Angels have won just 43% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The Royals have won just 21% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Angels pitchers have an ERA of 5.88 (153.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Angels pitchers have walked 189 of 1,778 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 311 of 3,218 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 39 of 344 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.