- The Royals are -105 favorites vs the Brewers
- Royals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Brewers TV Channel: FDKC | FDWI | WITI
The Kansas City Royals (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Monday, March 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Royals are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 0-3 ATS.
Royals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Elvin Rodriguez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Royals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -105 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -115 |
Royals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+10.50 Units / 131% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 away games (+10.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+12.00 Units / 400% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 59% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 164 games (+12.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 161 games (+9.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 92 of their last 163 games (+8.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games at home (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 72 games at home (+3.95 Units / 4% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 0-3 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -46.25% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 31.25% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -35.29% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 0-3 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 29.69% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -36.76% ROI
Brewers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Brewers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Bubic (KC) | 5.5 +145 | 5.5 -190 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 43% (93/218) against Kris Bubic on non-fastballs in 2022 — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — fifth Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Elvin Rodriguez has limited playing time.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 45-48 (.484) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Royals are just 21-66 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Royals are just 14-78 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Brewers are 37-85 (.303) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Brewers were 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 18-45 (.286) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Brewers are 49-5 (.907) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have put just 16% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,515 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals are hitless in 14 AB’s in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .378 against RHP in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters had 55 extra-base hits out of 182 total hits (just 30%) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% against Royals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 26% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 12.75 (24.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% against Brewers pitchers this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .804 this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
More MLB Reading:
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