- The Cardinals are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Cardinals TV Channel: FDMW | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+118) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Tuesday, June 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO, MO.
This season, the Royals are 31-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 35-24 ATS.
Royals vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 3-6, 4.34 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 4-3, 4.26 ERA
Royals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -120 | +118 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | U 9 +100 | -145 |
Royals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+9.50 Units / 95% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+10.50 Units / 117% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.30 Units / 69% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 47% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 60 games (+27.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 52 games (+17.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 16 away games (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 26 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+12.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.57 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.98 Units / 18% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 31-29 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -8.15% ROI).
- 31-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 3.22% ROI
- 21-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.22 Units / -30.96% ROI
- 38-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.8 Units / 22.2% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 35-24 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 7.75% ROI).
- 33-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 10.94% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 5.41% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -14.29% ROI
Cardinals vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Cardinals vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Cardinals vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 12% (6 SO in 50 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 13% (13 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 10th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a BABIP of .165 vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen walked 29 of 202 batters (14%) versus the top of the order in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 77% (173/226) against Andre Pallante in 2023 — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 77% (173/226) against Andre Pallante in 2023 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .357 (40-for-112) against Andre Pallante in 2023 — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante allowed an OBP of .444 (133 PA’s) against right-handed batters in 2023 — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 6-64 (.086) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Royals are just 24-68 (.261) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cardinals are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals are just 60-62 (.492) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals are batting .176 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Royals hitters struck out just 298 times in 1,502 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .652 (1,975 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters slugged just .507 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Cardinals have scored first in 72% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Cardinals are batting .181 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.02 (674.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 46% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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