- The Royals are -130 favorites vs the Guardians
- Royals vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Royals / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | FDKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (-135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+115) on Sunday, April 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Royals are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 7-7 ATS.
Royals vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-0, 2.82 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 0-1, 4.40 ERA
Royals vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +135 | O 7 +105 | -135 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -160 | U 7 -125 | +115 |
Royals vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+13.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+10.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+8.50 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 93 of their last 169 games (+12.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 86 away games (+3.05 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 86 away games (+2.55 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 87 of their last 165 games (+1.95 Units / 1% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 88 games at home (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 88 games at home (+10.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 87 games at home (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 89 of their last 173 games (+7.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 57% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 5-10 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -35.35% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -12.2% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -9.85% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.49% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 7-7 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.82% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 10% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -1.99% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -4.13% ROI
Guardians vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Guardians vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 36% (24 SO in 67 PAs) this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has thrown inside pitches 57% of the time (38/67) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has struck out 40% (19/48) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have not swung and missed (0/15) against Ben Lively on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have not swung and missed (0/15) against Ben Lively on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (17/107) against Ben Lively this season — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (17/107) against Ben Lively this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 14-81 (.147) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Royals are just 4-56 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Royals are just 21-67 (.239) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Guardians are 84-2 (.977) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians are 55-30 (.647) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of .372 (88 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,194 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since the 2023 season (475/12,539) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 1.00 (45.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.50.
More MLB Reading:
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