- The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Mets TV Channel: SNY | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Royals are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 5-7 ATS.
Royals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 1-0, 2.25 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 0-1, 3.60 ERA
Royals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 +100 | +115 |
| Mets | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -120 | -135 |
Royals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 away games (+11.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- DJ Stewart has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.25 Units / 89% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.45 Units / 91% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 9-4 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 22.97% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 34.15% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -19.8% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 13.09% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.35 Units / -16.55% ROI).
- 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -15.41% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -4.2% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -4.89% ROI
Mets vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mets vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Mets vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 44% of Michael Wacha’s pitches (21/48) with two-strikes this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (5-for-40) against Michael Wacha this season — 2nd best among in AL; League Avg: .227 — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has a strike rate of just 54% (26/48) in two strike counts this season — lowest among in AL; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Michael Wacha has struck out 46% (10/22) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .467 (7-for-15) against Luis Severino’s non-fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .227 — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 60% (58/97) against Luis Severino this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Severino allowed a slugging percentage of .450 (103 Total Bases / 229 ABs) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .310 — first Percentile.
Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (63/121) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 12-85 (.124) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals were just 17-13 (.567) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals were just 7-43 (.140) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Mets are just 3-76 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Mets are just 15-27 (.357) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,072 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters are slugging just .269 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
The Mets are batting just .241 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .812 (247 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.18 (91.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have walked 641 of 6,562 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 50 of 478 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Royals vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
