- The Royals are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Royals vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Mets TV Channel: SNY | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Royals are 9-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 6-7 ATS.
Royals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-1, 2.60 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Butto 0-0, 1.50 ERA
Royals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -115 | -120 |
| Mets | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -105 | +100 |
Royals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Dairon Blanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+5.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Joey Wendle has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 9-5 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 12.28% ROI).
- 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 26.38% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -25.55% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 18.92% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 6-7 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -5.26% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -7.49% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -11.93% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 2.44% ROI
Mets vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Mets vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeff McNeil (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mets vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Mets vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Butto (NYM) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Cole Ragans on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Cole Ragans on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best among in AL; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .189 (32 Total Bases / 169 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .376 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (48/142) against Cole Ragans this season — 4th best among in AL; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Butto has allowed a slugging percentage of just .150 (3 Total Bases / 20 ABs) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 96th Percentile.
Jose Butto has walked 3 of 23 batters (13%) this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — eighth Percentile.
Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 58% (52/90) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Butto has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (8/16) of opposing batters this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Royals were just 7-43 (.140) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 13-85 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 16-42 (.276) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Mets are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Mets are just 7-128 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Mets are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,153 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals are just 21-36 (.362) against the run line (-30.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of 1.062 (88 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .648.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .364 (247 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mets hitters have just 1,831 strikeouts in 8,868 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mets are batting .216 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .162.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have allowed 2.20 runs per game (22/10) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.78.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.18 (91.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .307 against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mets vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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