- The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+130) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-155) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Royals are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 2-1 ATS.
Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -105 | +130 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -115 | -155 |
Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s game with 57.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Gibson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 1-2 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -44.68% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -33.33% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -35.29% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 31.25% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 40% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 12.37% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 24.24% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -39.39% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (37/157) against Michael Wacha with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (623/1,296) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha threw his changeup 36% of the time (165/460) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .253 (229 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 96th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (138/518) versus Dean Kremer in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Dean Kremer located 56% of his pitches away (407/732) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 11-84 (.116) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals were just 7-43 (.140) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Royals were just 17-13 (.567) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles were 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Orioles were 63-38 (.624) after a win in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Orioles were 27-49 (.355) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (6,021 PA’s) on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles were 37-16 (.698) against the run line (28.9% ROI) after a road win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles are 197-128 (.602) against the run line (12.4% ROI) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Orioles hitters drew 169 walks in 1,701 PA’s (10%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles won 64% of their road games in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 198 of 2,916 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .198 against Orioles pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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