- The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Royals are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 3-1 ATS.
Royals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -110 | +140 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -110 | -165 |
Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+11.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kyle Gibson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 46% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.59 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -58.06% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -50% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.35% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 62.5% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 24.81% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 40% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -53.49% ROI
Orioles vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Witt Jr. | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mountcastle | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Westburg | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Fermin | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Garcia | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fermin | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Westburg | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Mountcastle | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Witt Jr. | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Garcia | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mountcastle | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Witt Jr. | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Westburg | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Fermin | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Garcia | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marsh | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Irvin | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh allowed a slugging percentage of .861 (118 Total Bases / 137 ABs) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .544 — 0 Percentile.
Alec Marsh allowed an OPS of .968 (164 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .688 — fourth Percentile.
Alec Marsh allowed an OPS of .893 (342 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .685 — first Percentile.
Alec Marsh allowed a slugging percentage of .861 (118 Total Bases / 137 ABs) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .538 — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (68/367) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 69% (780/1,136) in two strike counts since the 2022 season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 93rd Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 68% (2,637/3,883) since the 2022 season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (22/131) against Cole Irvin on changeups in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals were just 7-43 (.140) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Royals were just 17-13 (.567) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 11-84 (.116) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Orioles are 40-51 (.440) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Orioles were 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles were 22-26 (.458) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (6,045 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 197-129 (.601) against the run line (12.8% ROI) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles won 62% of games in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles were 37-16 (.698) against the run line (28.9% ROI) after a road win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 57% since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 198 of 2,922 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .198 against Orioles pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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