- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Royals are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 3-2 ATS.
Royals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-1, 3.00 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 1-0, 1.50 ERA
Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -125 | +145 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 +105 | -175 |
Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 2-3 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -34.21% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -12% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -22.81% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 18.87% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 30% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 12.5% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -24.07% ROI
Orioles vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Perez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Velazquez | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Renfroe | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Pasquantino | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Frazier | 0.5 +1550 | 0.5 -10000 |
Orioles vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Burnes | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
| Ragans | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 91st Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 35% (9 SO in 26 PAs) this season — 8th best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 87th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .189 (54-for-286) against Cole Ragans since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 97th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has walked 3 of 26 batters (12%) this season — 9th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 16th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has struck out 60% (9/15) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (157/264) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 63% of the time (164/262) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has a strikeout rate of 58% (11 SO in 19 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 11-84 (.116) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals were just 17-13 (.567) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 16-40 (.286) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Orioles are 140-8 (.946) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .870.
The Orioles are 41-51 (.446) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Orioles are 24-15 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,034 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 27 total hits (56%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .471 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Orioles hitters are slugging .398 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Orioles are batting .255 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .164.
The Orioles were 37-16 (.698) against the run line (28.9% ROI) after a road win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have not walked any of the 45 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 10 of 177 batters (6%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 201 of 2,940 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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