Royals vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 3

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Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 03, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Royals / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSKC

The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Royals are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 3-2 ATS.

Royals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-1, 3.00 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 1-0, 1.50 ERA

Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -145O 7.5 -125+145
Orioles -1.5 +120U 7.5 +105-175

Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Royals vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 2-3 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -34.21% ROI).

  • 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -12% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -22.81% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 18.87% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 30% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 12.5% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -24.07% ROI

Orioles vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Perez 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Velazquez 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200
Renfroe 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400
Pasquantino 0.5 +875 0.5 -1600
Frazier 0.5 +1550 0.5 -10000

Orioles vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Burnes 6.5 -110 6.5 -120
Ragans 6.5 +120 6.5 -155

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 91st Percentile.

Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 35% (9 SO in 26 PAs) this season — 8th best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 87th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .189 (54-for-286) against Cole Ragans since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 97th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has walked 3 of 26 batters (12%) this season — 9th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 16th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has struck out 60% (9/15) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (157/264) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 63% of the time (164/262) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has a strikeout rate of 58% (11 SO in 19 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Royals were just 1-9 (.100) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 11-84 (.116) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

The Royals were just 17-13 (.567) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Royals are just 16-40 (.286) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Orioles are 140-8 (.946) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .870.

The Orioles are 41-51 (.446) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Orioles are 24-15 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,034 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Royals hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 27 total hits (56%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Orioles hitters are slugging .471 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.

Orioles hitters are slugging .398 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Orioles are batting .255 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .164.

The Orioles were 37-16 (.698) against the run line (28.9% ROI) after a road win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Royals pitchers have not walked any of the 45 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 10 of 177 batters (6%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 201 of 2,940 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Orioles vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.