Royals vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the ninth inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
  • The Rangers are -150 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Royals / Rangers TV Channel: BSKC | BSSW

The Kansas City Royals (+130) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-155) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Royals are 42-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 33-41 ATS.

Royals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-4, 3.38 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 3-3, 3.19 ERA

Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -160O 8 -110+130
Rangers -1.5 +135U 8 -110-155

Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+18.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 72 games (+9.94 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+4.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+16.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+10.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 44-32 against the Run Line (+6.34 Units / 6.08% ROI).

  • 42-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 10.44% ROI
  • 34-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -10.89% ROI
  • 39-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 1.82% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 33-41 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -14.22% ROI).

  • 34-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -13.81% ROI
  • 27-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.5 Units / -26.27% ROI
  • 44-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.7 Units / 18.16% ROI

Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nate Lowe (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Josh H. Smith (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jonah Heim (TEX) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120
Brady Singer (KC) 4.5 -105 4.5 -125

Brady Singer has allowed a just .285 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 88th Percentile and .538 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– fifth Percentile.

Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .182 vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 92nd Percentile and .288 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 12th Percentile.

Brady Singer has walked 2 of 126 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of .350 (386 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — sixth Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 72% (169/236) this month (3 games) — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (68/380) against Nathan Eovaldi since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (66/411) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has a strikeout rate of 44% (12 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Royals are just 18-95 (.159) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.

The Royals are just 15-32 (.319) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Royals are just 16-18 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

The Royals are 18-23 (.439) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .283.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rangers are just 2-27 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

The Rangers are just 9-160 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Rangers are just 2-96 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Rangers are just 5-85 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Royals have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Royals are batting just .225 on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Royals hitters have just 12 strikeouts in 117 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .860 (500 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.045.

The Rangers are batting just .258 in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.

13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,972/15,099 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .235 (196 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 272 of 2,772 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rangers pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Rangers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.