- The Rangers are -160 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Rangers TV Channel: BSKC | BSSW
The Kansas City Royals (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Royals are 42-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 35-41 ATS.
Royals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 5-4, 4.38 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games (+6.69 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 55 games (+2.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+17.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 44-34 against the Run Line (+3.09 Units / 2.88% ROI).
- 42-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 8.01% ROI
- 34-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -11.9% ROI
- 40-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 2.95% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 35-41 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -11.03% ROI).
- 36-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -11.3% ROI
- 27-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.6 Units / -26.89% ROI
- 45-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.7 Units / 18.88% ROI
Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ezequiel Duran (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
| Max Scherzer (TEX) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 95.6 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (64 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of 2.306 (18 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.092 — first Percentile.
Alec Marsh has a strikeout rate of 36% (13 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 4th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .754 (196 Total Bases / 260 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .574 — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (18/65) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.6 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (65 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Max Scherzer has walked 18 of 603 right-handed batters (3%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (435/620) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 15-33 (.312) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Royals are 16-4 (.800) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Royals are just 18-95 (.159) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 14-54 (.206) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 3-177 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 9-160 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 5-85 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .752.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,404 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .877 (512 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.047.
Rangers hitters have 46 extra-base hits out of 202 total hits (just 23%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .799 (4,483 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (377 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Royals pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 274 of 2,837 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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