The Kansas City Royals (-130) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (+110) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.
This season, the Royals are 7-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 8-5 ATS.
Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Royals | -130 |
| Rangers | +110 |
Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 5-4 against the Run Line (+1.36 Units / 13.2% ROI).
- 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.82 Units / 38.53% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -35.82% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.67 Units / 26.49% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 8-5 against the Run Line (+3.18 Units / 18.22% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 19.08% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.27 Units / -1.9% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.34 Units / -2.36% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th-worst)– ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth-best among qualified RPs)– 91st Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 13% (6/45) against Seth Lugo in late innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Seth Lugo threw his curveball 38% of the time (482/1,255) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Seth Lugo threw his curveball 41% of the time (196/474) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .420 (29-for-69) against Jon Gray on fastballs away in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Jon Gray allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (36/322 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted .513 (40-for-78) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .350 — 0 Percentile.
Jon Gray had a strike rate of 70% (784/1,118) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 11-83 (.117) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals were just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals were just 17-12 (.586) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 9-15 (.375) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters had an OPS of just .649 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
- Freddy Fermin (Kansas City Royals): Finger, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- John McMillon (Kansas City Royals): Forearm, Out
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Out
- Brad Keller (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Back, Out
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Royals vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
