- The Royals are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
- Royals vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Royals / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSKC
The Kansas City Royals (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Royals are 48-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 42-45 ATS.
Royals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 5-6, 3.35 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-3, 7.95 ERA
Royals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 -120 | O 10 -105 | -185 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +100 | U 10 -115 | +150 |
Royals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 85 games (+6.34 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 66 games (+2.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 51 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 50-39 against the Run Line (+2.74 Units / 2.23% ROI).
- 48-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 6.72% ROI
- 37-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -16.23% ROI
- 48-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 7.42% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 42-45 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -11.82% ROI).
- 30-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -10.32% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -3.39% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -5.7% ROI
Rockies vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rockies vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ezequiel Tovar (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jacob Stallings (COL) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Rockies vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Rockies vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .181 (27-for-149) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .438 (14 GB hits out of 32 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners on base this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 30% (126 SO in 423 PAs) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .276 (40-for-145) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 10th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .641 (118 Total Bases / 184 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .374 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .408 (75-for-184) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (59/179) against Kyle Freeland on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Royals are just 20-96 (.172) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Royals are just 23-54 (.299) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Royals are 21-28 (.429) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rockies are just 75-13 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Rockies are just 24-7 (.774) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Rockies are just 23-22 (.511) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rockies are just 68-20 (.773) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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