The Kansas City Royals (-130) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Tuesday, March 12, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Royals are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 9-5 ATS.
Royals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Royals | -130 |
| Rockies | +110 |
Royals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 6-6 against the Run Line (+0.56 Units / 4.21% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.38 Units / 20.8% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -36.26% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 26.59% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 9-5 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 23.22% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.54 Units / 43.37% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.32 Units / 8.48% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.71 Units / -17.79% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .187 (50-for-267) against Cole Ragans in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans allowed a slugging percentage of just .303 (105 Total Bases / 346 ABs) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (76 Total Bases / 267 ABs) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .419 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 32% (192/610) against Cole Ragans in the 2023 season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill had a strikeout rate of just 15% (19/128) on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 6% (7/127) against Cal Quantrill on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 16% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strikeout rate of just 13% (58/444) in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill had a strike rate of just 59% (527/900) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Royals are just 11-83 (.117) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals were just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals were just 17-12 (.586) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 9-15 (.375) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters had an OPS of just .649 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
- Freddy Fermin (Kansas City Royals): Finger, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- John McMillon (Kansas City Royals): Forearm, Out
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Out
- Brad Keller (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Back, Out
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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