- The Royals are -145 favorites vs the Tigers
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (-145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+120) on Friday, April 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Royals are 8-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 12-7 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 1-0, 2.32 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jackson Jobe 1-0, 3.00 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -102 | -145 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -118 | +120 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+16.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cole Ragans has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+14.20 Units / 158% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 94 of their last 169 games (+15.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 86 away games (+3.70 Units / 3% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 170 games (+17.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 170 games (+10.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 80 games at home (+5.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 80 games at home (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 80 games at home (+1.65 Units / 2% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 7-13 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -34.02% ROI).
- 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -22.75% ROI
- 7-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -32.33% ROI
- 13-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 23.49% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 12-7 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 14.62% ROI).
- 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 14.92% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -14.39% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 7.26% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Jobe (DET) | 3.5 -118 | 3.5 -110 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 44% (16 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 56% (15 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 35% (487/1,399) against Cole Ragans since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 44% (31 SO in 71 PAs) this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jackson Jobe has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.0 innings pitched — Greg Weissert has the longest active streak at 26.0.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (11/36) against Jackson Jobe on changeups this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (2/27) against Jackson Jobe on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 19% (12/63) against Jackson Jobe this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 4-57 (.066) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.
The Royals are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Royals are just 14-82 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 14-62 (.184) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Tigers are 19-60 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Tigers are 68-26 (.723) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .379 (164 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.
7% of Royals’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (52/715 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,367 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .377 against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,061 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Tigers batted just .127 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .689 (9,809 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 473 of 6,651 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 949 of 12,726 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
More MLB Reading:
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