- The Tigers are -210 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+180) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-220) on Sunday, April 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Royals are 8-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 14-7 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 0-3, 4.36 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 2-2, 2.66 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -120 | O 7 -110 | +180 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +100 | U 7 -110 | -220 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+15.65 Units / 78% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+14.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 95 of their last 170 games (+16.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 88 away games (+1.00 Units / 1% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 99 of their last 170 games (+20.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 92 of their last 170 games (+12.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 81 games at home (+6.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games at home (+6.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 81 games at home (+4.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 7-15 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -39.91% ROI).
- 8-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -30.43% ROI
- 8-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -29.62% ROI
- 14-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.15 Units / 20.94% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 14-7 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 22.6% ROI).
- 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 21.92% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -13.28% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 6.11% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (235/497) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
73% of Michael Wacha’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 97th Percentile.
Michael Wacha threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Michael Wacha with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 97th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal allowed an OBP of just .159 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .161 (490 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 76% (75/99) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 71% (705/988) in two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 14-82 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 4-58 (.065) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Royals are just 21-67 (.239) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 14-62 (.184) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Tigers are 45-5 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .532 (526 PA’s) against RHP this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .259 (526 PA’s) against RHP this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .271 (666 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .574 (666 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .659 (1,395 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers hitters slugged just .377 against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Tigers are batting just .235 against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 3.57 (741.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
More MLB Reading:
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