- The Royals are -105 favorites vs the Tigers
- Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Tigers TV Channel: BSKC | BSDT
The Kansas City Royals (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Royals are 17-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 11-15 ATS.
Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 2-1, 2.80 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-0, 2.96 ERA
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -105 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -115 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+13.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.95 Units / 100% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mark Canha has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 135 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 17-10 against the Run Line (+4.04 Units / 10.67% ROI).
- 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 29.05% ROI
- 8-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -33.45% ROI
- 16-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 25.17% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 11-15 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -13.69% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 4.65% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -3.99% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -4.5% ROI
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (29/42) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .175 (18-for-103) against Brady Singer this season — 4th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .235 — 93rd Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of just .182 (44 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .293 — 94th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 59% of the time (80/136) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 14.2 innings pitched — Ranger Suarez has the longest active streak at 25.1.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (10/16) against Casey Mize over the last 14 days — 3rd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/45) against Casey Mize on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .389 (7-for-18) against Casey Mize when going through the lineup the second time in a game — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .221 — fourth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Royals are just 13-85 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Royals are just 9-44 (.170) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 38-12 (.760) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are just 40-53 (.430) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Tigers are just 21-133 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 47% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,330 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .644 (9,827 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (9,827 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .658 (12,936 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .285 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (566.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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