- The Twins are -130 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-130) on Saturday, May 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
This season, the Royals are 28-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 29-21 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 3-4, 2.86 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 0-1, 12.01 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -115 | +110 |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -105 | -130 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+11.50 Units / 144% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+10.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Zebby Matthews has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 74% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.45 Units / 74% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 52 games (+25.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+17.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 away games (+9.80 Units / 58% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+15.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+13.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games (+9.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 27-25 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -7.31% ROI).
- 28-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 7.34% ROI
- 17-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.87 Units / -35.09% ROI
- 34-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.25 Units / 26.39% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 29-21 against the Run Line (+9.8 Units / 15.73% ROI).
- 28-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 3.56% ROI
- 17-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.9 Units / -28.88% ROI
- 30-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 20.62% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Zebby Matthews (MIN) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 50% (306/611) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .381 (8-for-21) against Michael Wacha on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 — fifth Percentile.
Michael Wacha threw his changeup 48% of the time (336/698) with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zebby Matthews has limited playing time.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 18-87 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Royals are just 6-61 (.090) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Royals are 9-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .813.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins are 94-2 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Twins were 40-18 (.690) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins were just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (6,982 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .681 (3,468 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are just 17-36 (.321) against the run line (-36.1% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins batted just .241 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 5% of batters this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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