- The Royals are +105 favorites vs the Twins
- Royals vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-125) on Sunday, May 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Royals are 28-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 29-22 ATS.
Royals vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 5-2, 1.46 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 4-1, 3.66 ERA
Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -102 | +105 |
| Twins | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -118 | -125 |
Royals vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 117% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willi Castro has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+6.40 Units / 107% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bailey Ober has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 53 games (+24.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+16.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+10.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+14.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 games (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 28-25 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -5.83% ROI).
- 28-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 5.72% ROI
- 18-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.87 Units / -32.69% ROI
- 34-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.15 Units / 24.03% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 29-22 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 13.9% ROI).
- 29-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 4.98% ROI
- 18-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -26.54% ROI
- 30-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.25 Units / 18.25% ROI
Twins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Twins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Kris Bubic (KC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (23/68) against Kris Bubic on pitches in the strike zone in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 72% (108/149) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 71% (190/267) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 79% (19/24) against Kris Bubic’s changeup this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has allowed a SLG of .462 non-fastballs this season — seventh worst among qualified SPs– ninth Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .270 non-fastballs last season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .277 against Bailey Ober non-fastballs this season — fourth worst among qualified SPs– fifth Percentile. Opponents batted just .148 (45-for-304) against him non-fastballs last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .137 (40-for-293) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .679 (38 Total Bases / 56 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 23-67 (.256) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Royals are 9-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .810.
The Royals are just 6-62 (.088) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are just 1-87 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins are 20-9 (.690) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Twins are 20-2 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .810.
The Twins are 75-30 (.714) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (7,025 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Royals hitters had an OPS of just .649 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,468 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters had an OBP of .330 (4,710 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 5% of batters this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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