- The Royals are -160 favorites vs the White Sox
- Royals vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Royals / White Sox TV Channel: FDKC | CHSN
The Kansas City Royals (-130) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on Sunday, June 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Royals are 33-32 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 38-27 ATS.
Royals vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 3-6, 5.13 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Vasil 3-2, 1.90 ERA
Royals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +130 | O 9 -118 | -130 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -155 | U 9 -102 | +110 |
Royals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tim Elko has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+15.50 Units / 194% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 65 games (+26.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+13.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 21 away games (+12.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 41 games (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+9.79 Units / 51% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 34-31 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -6.19% ROI).
- 33-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 1.18% ROI
- 25-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.32 Units / -24.44% ROI
- 39-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.45 Units / 15.87% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 38-27 against the Run Line (+8.45 Units / 11.03% ROI).
- 22-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.96 Units / -13.76% ROI
- 30-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -7.48% ROI
- 32-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.68% ROI
White Sox vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jac Caglianone (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
White Sox vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
White Sox vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Mike Vasil (CWS) | 2.5 +125 | 2.5 -165 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of .543 (44 Total Bases / 81 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .351 (33-for-94) against Michael Lorenzen when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OBP of .415 (106 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a batting average of .277 vs right-handed batters (tied for 13th worst)– 12th Percentile and just .209 vs left-handed batters since the 2023 season (13th best among non-qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Vasil has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (75/158) this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Mike Vasil has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (75/158) this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Mike Vasil has a first-pitch in-zone of just 46% (72/158) this season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 55% — fifth Percentile.
Mike Vasil has a first-pitch strike rate of just 35% (9/26) in his last two appearances — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 19-91 (.173) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Royals are 17-7 (.708) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the White Sox (30th best runs scored) today.
The Royals are just 8-67 (.107) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox were just 40-103 (.280) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The White Sox were just 41-121 (.253) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals are batting .178 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .149.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 21% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 28% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .214 (7,580 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 54% of the time this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 10% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
More MLB Reading:
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