Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 15

New York Yankees' Aaron Judge during the ninth inning of a baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles Thursday, May 25, 2023, in New York. The Orioles won 3-1.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
  • The Yankees are -210 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Royals / Yankees TV Channel: YES | FDKC

The Kansas City Royals (+170) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-210) on Tuesday, April 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Royals are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 0-0 ATS.

Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 0-2, 4.20 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 2-0, 1.56 ERA

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -115O 8.5 -105+170
Yankees -1.5 -105U 8.5 -115-210

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Wacha has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+3.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.55 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 6 of his last 10 away games (+1.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 10 away games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • No trends found
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 142 games (+12.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +185 0.5 -225
Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Ben Rice (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -550

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -220 0.5 +170
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jonathan India (KC) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +110 0.5 -140
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Wacha (KC) 4.5 -155 4.5 +120
Max Fried (NYY) 5.5 -130 5.5 +100

Michael Wacha has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (231/486) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Michael Wacha threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 30% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (144/486) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (395/843) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

4 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 2nd most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 95th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (313/535) against Max Fried since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Royals are just 14-82 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

The Royals are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Royals are just 4-56 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Yankees are 84-25 (.771) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Yankees are 53-12 (.815) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .269 (514 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,262 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .251 (374 PA’s) against RHP this month (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters are slugging .584 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Yankees hitters have drawn 244 walks in 2,052 PA’s (12%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.

Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4

Yankees pitchers have walked 20 of 114 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 66 of 475 batters (14%) this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 74 of 596 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 20 of 114 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.