- The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | Max
The Kansas City Royals (+170) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-210) on Saturday, October 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:38pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Royals are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 0-0 ATS.
Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 13-8, 3.37 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 8-5, 3.41 ERA
Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -130 | O 7.5 -105 | +170 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -115 | -210 |
Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 48 games (+23.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+13.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+13.00 Units / 325% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+12.75 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+19.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.05 Units / 87% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 21 games at home (+14.45 Units / 69% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+15.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 away games (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 90 of their last 160 games (+11.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 63 of their last 105 games (+20.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 128 games (+14.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+2.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .188 (45-for-239) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 93rd Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 28% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (128/452) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (693/1,458) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .260 (735 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .575 (736 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 29% (212 SO in 736 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .105 (29 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .655 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 25-107 (.189) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 4-50 (.074) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Royals are just 14-78 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Royals are just 21-66 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 122-36 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 35-20 (.636) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Yankees are 48-10 (.828) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees are 79-23 (.775) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,003 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .391 (136 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .676.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .289 (9,066 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 333 walks in 2,976 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 495 walks in 4,525 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers this season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.5
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.76 (1413.1 IP) on the road since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
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