Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 7

New York Yankees' DJ LeMahieu hits a one-run double in the sixth inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader against the Boston Red Sox, Tuesday, Sept. 12, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Steven Senne)
  • The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Royals / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | truT | Max

The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Monday, October 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:38pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Royals are 88-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 84-79 ATS.

Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 12-9, 3.06 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 16-9, 3.88 ERA

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -185O 7.5 -110+125
Yankees -1.5 +150U 7.5 -110-150

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 49 games (+24.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+14.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+13.00 Units / 325% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+19.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+16.80 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 away games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 91 of their last 161 games (+12.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 106 games (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 129 games (+13.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 92-73 against the Run Line (+8.4 Units / 3.79% ROI).

  • 88-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.08% ROI
  • 70-90 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.55 Units / -15.81% ROI
  • 90-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.35 Units / 6.76% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 84-79 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 4.79% ROI).

  • 95-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 87-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 5.27% ROI
  • 70-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.4 Units / -14.21% ROI

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tommy Pham (KC) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Ragans (KC) 5.5 -135 5.5 +105
Carlos Rodon (NYY) 5.5 +125 5.5 -160

Cole Ragans allowed a batting average of just .100 vs right-handed batters (third best)– 96th Percentile and .292 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 16th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (433/1,255) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .281 (74 Total Bases / 263 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .179 (47-for-263) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (165/474) against Carlos Rodon this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has thrown inside pitches 38% of the time (382/1,009) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .442 (117 Total Bases / 265 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 16th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has located his sliders inside 42% of the time (342/806) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Royals are just 21-66 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.

The Royals are just 25-107 (.189) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Royals are just 46-48 (.489) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Royals are just 4-50 (.074) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Yankees are 35-20 (.636) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.

The Yankees are 48-10 (.828) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.

The Yankees are 122-36 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.

The Yankees are 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .857.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,003 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .511 (431 PA’s) over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .662 (9,066 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Yankees hitters have drawn 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 672 walks in 6,245 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 495 walks in 4,525 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .333 (6,245 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers this season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.5

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .256.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since last season is 393.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4

Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
  • Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.