Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 7

min read
New York Yankees' DJ LeMahieu hits a one-run double in the sixth inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader against the Boston Red Sox, Tuesday, Sept. 12, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Steven Senne)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 07, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Royals / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | truT | Max

The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Monday, October 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:38pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Royals are 88-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 84-79 ATS.

Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 12-9, 3.06 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 16-9, 3.88 ERA

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -185O 7.5 -110+125
Yankees -1.5 +150U 7.5 -110-150

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Royals vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 49 games (+24.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+14.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+13.00 Units / 325% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+19.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+16.80 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 away games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 91 of their last 161 games (+12.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 106 games (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 129 games (+13.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 92-73 against the Run Line (+8.4 Units / 3.79% ROI).

  • 88-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.08% ROI
  • 70-90 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.55 Units / -15.81% ROI
  • 90-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.35 Units / 6.76% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 84-79 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 4.79% ROI).

  • 95-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 87-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 5.27% ROI
  • 70-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.4 Units / -14.21% ROI

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tommy Pham (KC) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Austin Wells (NYY) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Ragans (KC) 5.5 -135 5.5 +105
Carlos Rodon (NYY) 5.5 +125 5.5 -160

Cole Ragans allowed a batting average of just .100 vs right-handed batters (third best)– 96th Percentile and .292 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 16th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (433/1,255) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .281 (74 Total Bases / 263 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .179 (47-for-263) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (165/474) against Carlos Rodon this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has thrown inside pitches 38% of the time (382/1,009) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .442 (117 Total Bases / 265 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 16th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has located his sliders inside 42% of the time (342/806) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Royals are just 21-66 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.

The Royals are just 25-107 (.189) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Royals are just 46-48 (.489) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Royals are just 4-50 (.074) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Yankees are 35-20 (.636) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.

The Yankees are 48-10 (.828) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.

The Yankees are 122-36 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.

The Yankees are 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .857.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,003 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .511 (431 PA’s) over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .662 (9,066 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Yankees hitters have drawn 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 672 walks in 6,245 PA’s (11%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 495 walks in 4,525 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .333 (6,245 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers this season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.5

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .256.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since last season is 393.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4

Yankees vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
  • Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Royals vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.