- The Tigers are -102 favorites vs the Astros
- Tigers vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | FDDX
The Detroit Tigers (-102) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-118) on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Tigers are 18-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 16-12 ATS.
Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 3-1, 3.30 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 3-1, 2.78 ERA
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -105 | -102 |
| Astros | +1.5 -210 | U 7.5 -115 | -118 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.30 Units / 113% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+10.30 Units / 172% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+17.40 Units / 174% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.33 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.60 Units / 36% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 39% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 18-11 against the Run Line (+6.6 Units / 17.62% ROI).
- 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 16.1% ROI
- 11-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.3 Units / -19.84% ROI
- 16-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 12.69% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 16-12 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 16.07% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -2.3% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -24.47% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 15.22% ROI
Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Gusto (HOU) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has a strike rate of just 51% (84/164) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (75/115) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 37% — 97th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .150 (6 Total Bases / 40 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .351 — 97th Percentile.
Reese Olson has a strike rate of just 60% (269/449) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Gusto has not walked any of the 25 batters that they have faced against right-handed batters in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Gusto has not walked any of the 18 batters that they have faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Gusto has a strike rate of 73% (141/192) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .069 (2-for-29) against Ryan Gusto’s elevated fastball this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 97th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 39-4 (.907) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 19-62 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 10-3 (.769) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .131 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,145 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Tigers are batting just .319 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are slugging .495 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Astros hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (1702.1 IP) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Tigers vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
