- The Tigers are +100 favorites vs the Astros
- Tigers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Astros TV Channel: FDDT | SCHN | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Tigers are 18-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 17-12 ATS.
Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jackson Jobe 2-0, 2.70 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: A.J. Blubaugh 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +110 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -135 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+10.35 Units / 259% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.75 Units / 73% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.65 Units / 107% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+9.80 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.33 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+11.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 18-12 against the Run Line (+5.6 Units / 14.56% ROI).
- 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 13.11% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -16.13% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 8.98% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 17-12 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 18.06% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.56% ROI
- 11-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -20.44% ROI
- 16-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 11.3% ROI
Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Jobe (DET) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -118 |
| AJ Blubaugh (HOU) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jackson Jobe has allowed an OPS of just .411 (20 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .696 — 92nd Percentile.
Jackson Jobe has allowed a BABIP of .218 this season — tied for 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 93rd Percentile.
Jackson Jobe has not allowed a home run in any of the last 17.0 innings he’s appeared — Jhoan Duran has the longest active streak at 44.2.
Jackson Jobe has walked 12% of batters this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 10th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers were 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers were 39-4 (.907) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,137 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Tigers are batting just .132 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Tigers are batting just .121 with two-strikes this month (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OBP of .430 (121 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 30% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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