- The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Tigers vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Blue Jays TV Channel: FDDT | RSN1
The Detroit Tigers (-130) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+110) on Saturday, May 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Tigers are 30-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-17 ATS.
Tigers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 4-3, 3.38 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Urena 0-0, 8.72 ERA
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -118 | -130 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -102 | +110 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Reese Olson has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.45 Units / 96% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Tigers Best Bets Today:
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 26-19 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 7.55% ROI).
- 30-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 20.25% ROI
- 23-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 7.11% ROI
- 18-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -14.49% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 27-17 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 12.79% ROI).
- 21-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.46 Units / -4.81% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -1.35% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -6.24% ROI
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer (MIL) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has a in-zone of just 43% (1,102/2,569) since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Reese Olson has a in-zone of just 29% (281/955) when ahead in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (853/1,328) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (415/647) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urena has a strikeout rate of just 5% (5 SO in 100 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Jose Urena has a strikeout rate of just 31% (75 SO in 239 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
11 of Jose Urena’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd most among AL Relievers; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Jose Urena has struck out just 14% (39/275) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 21-66 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Tigers are 20-9 (.690) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Blue Jays are just 82-9 (.901) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are 30-17 (.638) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Tigers are batting .315 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Tigers are batting just .319 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .674 (3,060 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .236 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.
Blue Jays hitters slugged just .349 against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .379 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers had an ERA of 3.90 (706.2 IP) on the road in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
More MLB Reading:
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