- The Tigers are +100 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Tigers vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Blue Jays TV Channel: FDDT | RSN | TVA
The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Sunday, May 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Tigers are 30-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 28-17 ATS.
Tigers vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jackson Jobe 3-0, 4.32 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-1, 4.33 ERA
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -102 | +110 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -118 | -135 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+23.65 Units / 296% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.70 Units / 68% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+16.40 Units / 234% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 86% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+14.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+14.48 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 46 games (+13.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.89 Units / 26% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 26-20 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 5.73% ROI).
- 30-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 17.81% ROI
- 23-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 4.77% ROI
- 19-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -12.22% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 28-17 against the Run Line (+8.95 Units / 14.08% ROI).
- 22-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.31 Units / -2.51% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -3.56% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -4.1% ROI
Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Trey Sweeney (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Jobe (DET) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jackson Jobe has a strike rate of just 55% (116/210) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Jackson Jobe has walked 14% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 14% (7/51) against Jackson Jobe when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Jackson Jobe has walked 14% of right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios located 59% of his pitches away (352/599) when ahead in the count in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .966 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has picked-off 4 runners since last season — 2nd most among among AL Starters — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .314 (22-for-70) against Jose Berrios when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — fifth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 21-66 (.241) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Tigers were 39-4 (.907) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Blue Jays are just 1-7 (.125) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Blue Jays are just 28-51 (.354) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .362 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Tigers batted just .229 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Tigers hitters slugged just .377 against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .232 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters slugged just .349 against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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