Tigers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 5

Atlanta Braves' Austin Riley in action during Game 4 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Thursday, Oct. 12, 2023, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)
AP Photo/Chris Szagola

The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Tuesday, March 5, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in North Port, FL.

This season, the Tigers are 4-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 3-3 ATS.

Tigers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Tigers+150
Braves -190

Tigers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
  • Ryan Kreidler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Chadwick Tromp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 4-4 against the Run Line (+0.33 Units / 3.65% ROI).

  • 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 11.59% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -16.29% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.72 Units / 8.26% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Braves are 3-3 against the Run Line (-0.72 Units / -8.99% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 22.58% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.27 Units / -4.14% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.47 Units / -6.96% ROI

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 34% (111/325) against Reese Olson with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — fourth Percentile.

Reese Olson allowed a BABIP of .244 against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 97th Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 33% (51/154) against Reese Olson when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.

87% of Reese Olson’s called strikeouts were low against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 42% (332/783) against Spencer Strider in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (635/1,644) against Spencer Strider in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider had a strikeout rate of 37% (281/763) in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider struck out 67 batters on three pitches in the 2023 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.

The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Tigers are just 19-85 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Tigers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Braves were 28-46 (.378) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.

The Braves were 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Braves are 46-41 (.529) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Braves are 164-34 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Tigers batted just .241 on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.

The Tigers batted just .211 on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.

The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Tigers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Braves pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Braves pitchers won 49% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Braves vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Out
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Penn Murfee (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Eli White (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Jackson Stephens (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.