Tigers vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 16

Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
  • The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Tigers / Brewers TV Channel: FDDT | FDWI

The Detroit Tigers (+120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Tigers are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 7-11 ATS.

Tigers vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-0, 0.00 ERA

Tigers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -185O 8 +100+120
Brewers -1.5 +150U 8 -120-145

Tigers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+15.70 Units / 174% ROI)
  • Andy Ibanez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Andy Ibanez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+6.15 Units / 154% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+9.80 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 170 games (+17.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 170 games (+9.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 89 away games (+5.55 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 89 away games (+5.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 170 games (+2.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 168 games (+4.45 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 87 games at home (+2.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 87 games at home (+1.60 Units / 2% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 11-6 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 17.17% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 16.59% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -4.47% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -2.71% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 7-11 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -25.93% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -1.88% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -19.7% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 12.12% ROI

Brewers vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Brewers vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Gleyber Torres (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Sal Frelick (MIL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Andy Ibanez (DET) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Brewers vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235

Brewers vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Quintana (MIL) 5.5 +120 5.5 -155
Keider Montero (DET) 4.5 +140 4.5 -185

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (18/126) against Keider Montero on breaking pitches since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 14% (18/126) versus Keider Montero on breaking pitches in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (13/84) versus Keider Montero on sliders in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

72% of Keider Montero’s called strikeouts were low in the 2024 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 97th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 59% (1,306/2,224) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 58% (463/803) in two strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,341/2,284) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 57% (451/786) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Tigers are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .026.

The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Tigers are 14-61 (.187) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Brewers are 53-35 (.602) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.

The Brewers are 27-16 (.628) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 56-57 (.496) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Tigers (19th best runs scored) today.

The Brewers are 5-3 (.625) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .467.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,044 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .689 (9,764 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Tigers are batting just .103 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .162.

Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .263 (1,445 PA’s) when leading off an inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters had 55 extra-base hits out of 182 total hits (just 30%) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Brewers hitters have chased 11% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.

Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 467 of 6,578 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 943 of 12,653 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Brewers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.18 (969.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.