- The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Tigers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (-145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) on Friday, May 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Tigers are 21-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-24 ATS.
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 5-0, 2.02 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 2-2, 5.33 ERA
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -110 | -145 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -150 | U 8 -110 | +120 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+16.40 Units / 86% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.55 Units / 66% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+7.90 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+16.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 58% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.95 Units / 61% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 away games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 26 games (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 44 games (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 19-24 against the Run Line (-6.15 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 21-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -6.5% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.84% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -7.42% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-24 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -12.22% ROI).
- 21-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -8.78% ROI
- 18-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -17.7% ROI
- 24-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 9.75% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 5.5 -190 | 5.5 +140 |
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of .778 (14 Total Bases / 18 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 74% (167/225) in two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .167 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .299 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .655 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .353 (104-for-295) against Ryne Nelson at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has an ERA of 7.79 (69.1 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 4.07 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .610 (180 Total Bases / 295 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .343 (37-for-108) against Ryne Nelson this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers are 24-13 (.649) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Tigers are 41-14 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .617.
The Tigers are just 22-90 (.196) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks are just 151-15 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 133-24 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 88-9 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Diamondbacks are just 76-12 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (10,256 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .356 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .647 (10,256 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 95 strikeouts in 538 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .299 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
28% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (610.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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