- The Diamondbacks are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSDT | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) on Sunday, May 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Tigers are 23-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-26 ATS.
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matt Manning 0-1, 4.37 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 2-2, 4.83 ERA
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -115 | -150 |
Tigers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+14.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 18 games at home (+18.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+16.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+15.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+13.95 Units / 63% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 19 away games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 46 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 21-24 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -6.43% ROI).
- 23-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -2.01% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 2.63% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -11.97% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-26 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -15.79% ROI).
- 21-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -12.62% ROI
- 20-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -13.07% ROI
- 24-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 4.7% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Diamondbacks vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Matt Manning (DET) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (12/92) against Matt Manning on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed an OBP of just .227 (150 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .157 (21-for-134) against Matt Manning when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 127 opportunities (5%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 11% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has walked 4 of 18 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (72/202) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of .444 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .289 — eighth Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 31 of 621 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 88th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Tigers are 65-25 (.722) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Tigers are just 25-138 (.153) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 86-7 (.925) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Diamondbacks are just 133-24 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 151-15 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 22-143 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Diamondbacks are just 88-9 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .651 (10,337 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,337 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .290 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .346 (570 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .569 (530 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (610.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 116 of 1,658 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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