- The Tigers are -120 favorites vs the Guardians
- Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 50-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 49-50 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry 0-2, 5.10 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Tigers | O | ||
Guardians | U |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 14 games (+13.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 99 games (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 41 games at home (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 51-50 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -2.89% ROI).
- 50-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -3.27% ROI
- 54-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 8.8% ROI
- 40-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -18.19% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 49-50 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 1.66% ROI).
- 59-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.67 Units / 9.01% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.6% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -7.06% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Carson Kelly (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .227 (34-for-150) against Beau Brieske with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .158 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .227 (34-for-150) against Beau Brieske with two-strikes since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .500 (11-for-22) against Beau Brieske this month (7 games) — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Beau Brieske has a strikeout rate of 44% (19 SO in 43 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since last season — 5th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 29% — 94th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 34% (79 SO in 230 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (54/203) against Xzavion Curry since last season — 3rd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 17% (79 SO in 478 PAs) since last season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .290 (73-for-252) against Xzavion Curry since the 2022 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .230 — fourth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 33-9 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Tigers are just 29-161 (.153) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are 50-21 (.704) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Tigers are 11-35 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 18-16 (.529) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Guardians are 31-14 (.689) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Guardians are 48-1 (.980) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Guardians are 188-6 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,950 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .657 (11,950 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,079 strikeouts in 11,360 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 319 of 3,769 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Guardians pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.76 runs per game (75/99) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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