- The Tigers are -120 favorites vs the Guardians
- Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 50-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 49-50 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry 0-2, 5.10 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 14 games (+13.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 99 games (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 41 games at home (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 51-50 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -2.89% ROI).
- 50-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -3.27% ROI
- 54-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 8.8% ROI
- 40-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -18.19% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 49-50 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 1.66% ROI).
- 59-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.67 Units / 9.01% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.6% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -7.06% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Carson Kelly (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .227 (34-for-150) against Beau Brieske with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .158 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .227 (34-for-150) against Beau Brieske with two-strikes since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .500 (11-for-22) against Beau Brieske this month (7 games) — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.
Beau Brieske has a strikeout rate of 44% (19 SO in 43 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since last season — 5th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 29% — 94th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 34% (79 SO in 230 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (54/203) against Xzavion Curry since last season — 3rd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 17% (79 SO in 478 PAs) since last season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .290 (73-for-252) against Xzavion Curry since the 2022 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .230 — fourth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 33-9 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Tigers are just 29-161 (.153) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are 50-21 (.704) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Tigers are 11-35 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 18-16 (.529) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Guardians are 31-14 (.689) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Guardians are 48-1 (.980) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Guardians are 188-6 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,950 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .657 (11,950 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,079 strikeouts in 11,360 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 319 of 3,769 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Guardians pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.76 runs per game (75/99) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
Bet now on Tigers vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
