- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | BSDT | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 19-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 23-13 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-4, 2.68 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 2-1, 4.50 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -115 | +115 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -105 | -135 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+22.40 Units / 172% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 games (+22.50 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+13.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+12.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.15 Units / 52% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.72 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 17-19 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -6.56% ROI).
- 19-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 3.23% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -4.04% ROI
- 15-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -4.77% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 23-13 against the Run Line (+11.25 Units / 24.75% ROI).
- 23-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.12 Units / 19.23% ROI
- 19-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 6.57% ROI
- 15-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -14.9% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 6.5 +135 | 6.5 -175 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .161 (10 Total Bases / 62 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 23 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .145 (9-for-62) against Reese Olson this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (3-for-20) against Reese Olson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — 94th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (28/119) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (28/119) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 39% — second Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .887 (55 Total Bases / 62 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .533 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .414 (12-for-29) against Tanner Bibee’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are 41-14 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Tigers are 22-12 (.647) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Tigers are just 21-89 (.191) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Tigers are just 21-28 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 8-81 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Guardians are 24-131 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Guardians are 35-124 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .646 (10,103 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (10,103 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,776 strikeouts in 9,761 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .224 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,538 strikeouts in 13,622 PA’s (19%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have not walked any of the 63 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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