- The Tigers are -120 favorites vs the Guardians
- Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 6 Runs
- Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: TBS | Max
The Detroit Tigers (-120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+100) on Saturday, October 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:08pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 90-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 83-82 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 19-4, 2.25 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 2-2, 2.44 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | O 6 -120 | -120 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -190 | U 6 +100 | +100 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+16.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+16.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 28 games (+14.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+14.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 26 games (+26.30 Units / 101% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 48 games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+8.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.75 Units / 38% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 81 games (+25.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 games (+21.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+19.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 78 games at home (+11.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 94 of their last 165 games (+10.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 92-76 against the Run Line (+8.2 Units / 3.61% ROI).
- 90-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 3.61% ROI
- 79-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -5.89% ROI
- 82-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -2.69% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 83-82 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 1.86% ROI).
- 94-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 4.93% ROI
- 70-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.55 Units / -12.4% ROI
- 84-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.95 Units / 3.83% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 5.5 -185 | 5.5 +135 |
| Matthew Boyd (CLE) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .159 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .317 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .152 (12 Total Bases / 79 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (46-for-416) against Tarik Skubal with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has limited playing time.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are 14-55 (.203) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers are 62-25 (.713) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Tigers are 40-4 (.909) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Guardians are 40-174 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 25-31 (.446) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,672 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .661 (13,672 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,334 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,444 strikeouts in 13,061 PA’s (19%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 892 of 12,042 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 357 of 4,323 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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