- The Guardians are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: TBS | Max
The Detroit Tigers (+120) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-145) on Saturday, October 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:08pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 0-0 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 12-8, 3.50 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -185 | O 6.5 +105 | +120 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | U 6.5 -125 | -145 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Parker Meadows has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+18.70 Units / 78% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+16.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+12.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+9.80 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 games (+22.60 Units / 103% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 44 games (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 77 games (+23.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 79 games (+21.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games (+18.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 92 of their last 161 games (+10.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 75 games at home (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Holton (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .195 (267 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .227 (675 PA’s) since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .410 (280 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .230 (714 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 99th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee since last season is 383.8 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
Tanner Bibee allowed a batting average of .302 versus the top of the order (fifth worst)– eighth Percentile and just .181 versus the bottom of the order this season (sixth best among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee in the 2023 season was 379.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents are hitting .398 (35-for-88) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 11th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are 14-55 (.203) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 40-4 (.909) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers are 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers are 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Guardians are 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians are 25-31 (.446) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,672 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .367 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .685 (2,768 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 357 of 4,323 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Tigers have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (1428.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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