- The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Guardians
- Tigers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 6 Runs
- Tigers / Guardians TV Channel: TBS | truT | Max
The Detroit Tigers (-125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+105) on Monday, October 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:08pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Tigers are 88-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 83-79 ATS.
Tigers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 19-4, 2.33 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 2-2, 2.70 ERA
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +150 | O 6 -105 | -125 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -185 | U 6 -115 | +105 |
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Parker Meadows has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+17.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+17.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+14.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+13.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 games (+29.30 Units / 127% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+10.50 Units / 87% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 78 games (+21.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (+20.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+14.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 70 games (+18.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 77 games at home (+12.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 162 games (+11.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 89-76 against the Run Line (+4.7 Units / 2.11% ROI).
- 88-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 3.17% ROI
- 78-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -5.39% ROI
- 80-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -3.24% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 83-79 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 3.72% ROI).
- 93-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.7 Units / 5.55% ROI
- 69-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.45 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 82-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.05 Units / 3.4% ROI
Guardians vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Guardians vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Guardians vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Matthew Boyd (CLE) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .156 (627 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .159 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .227 (128 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .558 (753 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has not allowed a hit to any of the last 26 batters he’s faced after reaching two strikes. — Beau Brieske has the longest active streak at 43.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are 14-55 (.203) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 36-5 (.878) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Tigers are 40-4 (.909) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers are 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians are 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 92-69 (.571) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,672 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .661 (13,672 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,334 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians had an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 892 of 12,042 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.45 (930.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (1428.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Guardians vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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