- The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Tigers / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | FDDT
The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Tigers are 44-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 22-42 ATS.
Tigers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 6-1, 2.93 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 5-2, 4.50 ERA
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -210 | O 9 -110 | +105 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +160 | U 9 -110 | -125 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+15.60 Units / 156% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+9.85 Units / 141% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+9.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.45 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+14.10 Units / 157% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Zach Eflin has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.15 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 65 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+16.18 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 67 games (+15.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 67 games (+12.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.18 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.14 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 38-30 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 5.73% ROI).
- 44-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.15 Units / 15.36% ROI
- 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -9.18% ROI
- 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.25% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 22-42 against the Run Line (-23.81 Units / -28.79% ROI).
- 26-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.7 Units / -26.03% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.03 Units / -12.72% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.98 Units / 4.13% ROI
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 13% (12/90) against Casey Mize this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted .338 (52-for-154) against Casey Mize versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .224 (50-for-223) against Casey Mize with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .168 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 17% (57/341) against Casey Mize in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin walked 7 of 252 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted .347 (60-for-173) against Zach Eflin when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.
Zach Eflin allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (35/350 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 39-4 (.907) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 63-6 (.913) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are just 10-17 (.370) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .552.
The Orioles are just 5-10 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Orioles are just 7-18 (.280) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting .271 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Tigers batted just .229 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Tigers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .263 (1,445 PA’s) when leading off an inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .278 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .554 (626 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have won 53% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles have won just 16% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Batters facing the Orioles pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 47% of the time this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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