Tigers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 20

min read
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Orioles TV Channel: ATV+

The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Tigers are 80-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 81-72 ATS.

Tigers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 6-6, 4.64 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 14-8, 3.06 ERA

Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -150O 7.5 +100+145
Orioles -1.5 +125U 7.5 -120-175

Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Tigers vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in his last 16 away games (+17.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 away games (+15.50 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+13.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games at home (+23.50 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+39.60 Units / 110% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 66 games (+22.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 68 games (+18.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 144 games (+14.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 106 games (+12.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 69 games at home (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 83-70 against the Run Line (+5.7 Units / 2.76% ROI).

  • 80-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 2.76% ROI
  • 74-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -2.4% ROI
  • 71-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -6.32% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 81-72 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 7.84% ROI).

  • 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -3.77% ROI
  • 81-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.6 Units / 9.34% ROI
  • 60-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.05 Units / -17.34% ROI

Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
Jake Rogers (DET) 0.5 +875 0.5 -1600
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600
Trey Sweeney (DET) 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600

Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Parker Meadows (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Beau Brieske has not allowed a HR in any of his last 15 starts dating back to July 2nd, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Beau Brieske has walked 10 of 39 batters (26%) this month (8 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .328 (20-for-61) against Beau Brieske with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .243 — 10th Percentile.

50% of Beau Brieske’s fastball strikeouts are located down this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 75% of the time (174/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (471/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 68% of the time (156/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (498/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Tigers are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Tigers are 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Tigers are 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Orioles are 92-30 (.754) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

The Orioles are 33-27 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Orioles are 183-102 (.642) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,462 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,462 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,124 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 24 of 436 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 395 of 5,641 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Tigers pitchers this month (16 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 35 of 583 batters (6%) this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 1,365 of 17,892 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
  • Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Tigers vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.