- The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Orioles TV Channel: ATV+
The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Tigers are 80-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 81-72 ATS.
Tigers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 6-6, 4.64 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 14-8, 3.06 ERA
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Tigers | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 +100 | +145 |
Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -120 | -175 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in his last 16 away games (+17.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 away games (+15.50 Units / 129% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+13.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games at home (+23.50 Units / 131% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+39.60 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 66 games (+22.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 68 games (+18.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 144 games (+14.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 106 games (+12.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 69 games at home (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 83-70 against the Run Line (+5.7 Units / 2.76% ROI).
- 80-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 2.76% ROI
- 74-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -2.4% ROI
- 71-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -6.32% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 81-72 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 7.84% ROI).
- 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -3.77% ROI
- 81-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.6 Units / 9.34% ROI
- 60-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.05 Units / -17.34% ROI
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
Trey Sweeney (DET) | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Beau Brieske has not allowed a HR in any of his last 15 starts dating back to July 2nd, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Beau Brieske has walked 10 of 39 batters (26%) this month (8 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .328 (20-for-61) against Beau Brieske with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .243 — 10th Percentile.
50% of Beau Brieske’s fastball strikeouts are located down this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 75% of the time (174/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (471/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 68% of the time (156/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (498/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers are 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 92-30 (.754) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Orioles are 33-27 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Orioles are 183-102 (.642) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,462 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,462 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,124 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 24 of 436 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 395 of 5,641 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Tigers pitchers this month (16 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 35 of 583 batters (6%) this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 1,365 of 17,892 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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