Tigers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 20

(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
  • The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Orioles TV Channel: ATV+

The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Tigers are 80-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 81-72 ATS.

Tigers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 6-6, 4.64 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 14-8, 3.06 ERA

Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -150O 7.5 +100+145
Orioles -1.5 +125U 7.5 -120-175

Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in his last 16 away games (+17.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 away games (+15.50 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+13.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games at home (+23.50 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+39.60 Units / 110% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 66 games (+22.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 68 games (+18.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 144 games (+14.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 106 games (+12.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 69 games at home (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 83-70 against the Run Line (+5.7 Units / 2.76% ROI).

  • 80-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 2.76% ROI
  • 74-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -2.4% ROI
  • 71-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -6.32% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 81-72 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 7.84% ROI).

  • 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -3.77% ROI
  • 81-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.6 Units / 9.34% ROI
  • 60-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.05 Units / -17.34% ROI

Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
Jake Rogers (DET) 0.5 +875 0.5 -1600
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600
Trey Sweeney (DET) 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600

Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Parker Meadows (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Beau Brieske has not allowed a HR in any of his last 15 starts dating back to July 2nd, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Beau Brieske has walked 10 of 39 batters (26%) this month (8 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .328 (20-for-61) against Beau Brieske with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .243 — 10th Percentile.

50% of Beau Brieske’s fastball strikeouts are located down this season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 75% of the time (174/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (471/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 68% of the time (156/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (498/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Tigers are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Tigers are 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Tigers are 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Orioles are 92-30 (.754) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

The Orioles are 33-27 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Orioles are 183-102 (.642) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,462 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,462 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,124 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 24 of 436 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 395 of 5,641 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Tigers pitchers this month (16 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 35 of 583 batters (6%) this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 1,365 of 17,892 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
  • Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.