The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit BayCare Ballpark to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on Friday, March 22, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Clearwater, FL.
This season, the Tigers are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 12-6 ATS.
Tigers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +115 |
| Phillies | -135 |
Tigers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 52.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+3.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Garrett Stubbs has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 9-8 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 4.63% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 19.83% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -38.38% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 30.29% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Phillies are 12-6 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 19.4% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0.62% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -29.53% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 22.27% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 51% (86/170) against Tarik Skubal on changeups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal allowed an OPS of just .540 (310 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .736 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last eight games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Tarik Skubal had a strikeout rate of 33% (102/310) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler located 44% of his pitches inside (277/624) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler allowed an OBP of just .274 (787 PA’s) in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 91st Percentile.
Zack Wheeler threw fastballs 70% of the time (1,096/1,568) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season (287 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 80.4
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 32-41 (.438) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Phillies are 27-115 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Phillies were 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Phillies are 47-33 (.588) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Phillies were 19-11 (.633) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .679 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Tigers hitters slugged just .410 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters slugged .454 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Phillies batted .252 with two outs in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies hitters struck out 471 times in 1,869 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies hitters slugged .488 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.4 MPH (4,019 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Phillies won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 95 double plays in 1,088 opportunities (9%) in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brandon Marsh (Philadelphia Phillies): Knee, Out
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Alec Bohm (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, Day-To-Day
- Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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