- The Pirates are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Pirates TV Channel: BSDT | SNPT
The Detroit Tigers (+100) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Tigers are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 9-2 ATS.
Tigers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 0-0, 6.24 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Martin Perez 1-0, 2.46 ERA
Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -210 | O 8.5 -110 | +100 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -110 | -120 |
Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 72% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 99% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 away games (+15.97 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 3-7 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -37% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 4.55% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -5% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -5% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 9-2 against the Run Line (+8.6 Units / 58.11% ROI).
- 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 58.94% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Pirates vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reynolds | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Baez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Greene | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Taylor | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Urshela | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mize | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has not allowed a walk in his last 77 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 24th, 2021 — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 102.
Casey Mize has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (12/25) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 90th Percentile.
Casey Mize has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (17/25) with runners in scoring position this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total NonFB; League Avg: 49% — 87th Percentile.
Casey Mize has thrown off-speed pitches 61% of the time (53/87) this season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total NonFB; League Avg: 45% — 92nd Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (37/57) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has struck out just 9% (3/34) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Martin Perez’s has 5 strikeouts and no walks vs left-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.9 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 14% (46/331) against Martin Perez in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers were 32-9 (.780) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Tigers are just 20-128 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are just 18-24 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Tigers are just 38-50 (.432) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are just 12-17 (.414) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Pirates are just 26-39 (.400) after a road win since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Pirates are 39-8 (.830) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Pirates are 15-6 (.714) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,323 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (9,323 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .363 since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .399 (161 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 174 of their 478 plate appearances (36%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .500 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .388 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.91 (492.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,213 of 12,928 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.57 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Pirates pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Pirates vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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