Tigers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 22

Tampa Bay Rays' Josh Lowe pumps his fist while rounding the bases on his solo home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park, Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
  • The Tigers are -115 favorites vs the Rays
  • Tigers vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Tigers / Rays TV Channel: BSDT | BSUN

The Detroit Tigers (-115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-105) on Monday, April 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Tigers are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 10-13 ATS.

Tigers vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 2-0, 2.28 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 1-0, 2.14 ERA

Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +150O 7.5 -110-115
Rays +1.5 -185U 7.5 -110-105

Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Tigers vs Rays and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.60 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 86% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+12.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 9-13 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -16.22% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -1.41% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -7.76% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.61% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 10-13 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -9.01% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -6.67% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 7.51% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -17.39% ROI

Rays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Rays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Rays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Javier Baez (DET) 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Rays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (72/92) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (72/92) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have no hard-hit balls on 21 balls in play against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 42% (15 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Littell has allowed an OBP of .389 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among in AL; League Avg: .286 — eighth Percentile.

Zack Littell has thrown elevated sliders42% of the time (52/125) this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (19/52) against Zack Littell on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Zack Littell has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 81% (51/63) of opposing batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Tigers are 37-11 (.771) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.

The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Tigers are just 19-27 (.413) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Tigers are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

keys to the game – home

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .644 (9,711 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,711 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Tigers hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 25 total hits (60%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays have scored first in 64% of their games since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have drawn 40 walks in 595 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.86 (557.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Opponents are hitting just .208 against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.82 (801.2 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 905 of 12,816 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

Bet now on Tigers vs Rays and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.