Tigers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

min read
Tampa Bay Rays' Brandon Lowe runs the bases while scoring from first base on a two-run triple by Randy Arozarena off Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish in the third inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 14, 2023, in Baltimore. Rays' Yandy Diaz also scored on the triple.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2024, 11:03 AM
  • The Rays are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Tigers / Rays TV Channel: BSDT | BSFL

The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-155) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Tigers are 13-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 10-14 ATS.

Tigers vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 0-1, 7.65 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 2-2, 4.37 ERA

Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -160O 8 -120+125
Rays -1.5 +135U 8 +100-155

Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Tigers vs Rays and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 10-13 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -10.52% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 2.04% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -3.41% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -5.06% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 10-14 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -14.55% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -10.05% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 11.01% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -20.98% ROI

Rays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Rays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Richard Palacios (TB) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Rays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Rays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (20 Total Bases / 32 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 0 Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .853 (29 Total Bases / 34 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .383 — second Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .783 (47 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .451 — first Percentile.

14 of Kenta Maeda’s 51 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (64/181) against Ryan Pepiot this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (39/105) against Ryan Pepiot this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (4-for-34) against Ryan Pepiot when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (35/84) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Tigers are 38-11 (.776) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .616.

The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Tigers are just 21-131 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Tigers are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Rays are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are just 5-16 (.238) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.

The Rays are just 12-30 (.286) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Rays are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,751 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (12,830 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .363 since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

30% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Rays have scored first in 64% of their games since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents are hitting just .207 against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (211.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.86 (557.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.