Tigers vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

Tampa Bay Rays' Brandon Lowe runs the bases while scoring from first base on a two-run triple by Randy Arozarena off Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish in the third inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 14, 2023, in Baltimore. Rays' Yandy Diaz also scored on the triple.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
  • The Rays are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Tigers / Rays TV Channel: BSDT | BSFL

The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-155) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Tigers are 13-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 10-14 ATS.

Tigers vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 0-1, 7.65 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 2-2, 4.37 ERA

Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -160O 8 -120+125
Rays -1.5 +135U 8 +100-155

Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.72 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 10-13 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -10.52% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 2.04% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -3.41% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -5.06% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 10-14 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -14.55% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -10.05% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 11.01% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -20.98% ROI

Rays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Rays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Richard Palacios (TB) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Mark Canha (DET) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Rays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Rays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .625 (20 Total Bases / 32 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 0 Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .853 (29 Total Bases / 34 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .383 — second Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .783 (47 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .451 — first Percentile.

14 of Kenta Maeda’s 51 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (64/181) against Ryan Pepiot this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (39/105) against Ryan Pepiot this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (4-for-34) against Ryan Pepiot when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (35/84) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Tigers are 38-11 (.776) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .616.

The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.

The Tigers are just 21-131 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Tigers are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Rays are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are just 5-16 (.238) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.

The Rays are just 12-30 (.286) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Rays are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,751 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (12,830 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .363 since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

30% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Rays have scored first in 64% of their games since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents are hitting just .207 against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (211.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.86 (557.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
  • Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.