- The Tigers are -115 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Tigers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on Saturday, June 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Tigers are 28-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 26-32 ATS.
Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 1-5, 1.90 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 2-2, 4.23 ERA
Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+21.50 Units / 430% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+10.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 104% ROI)
- Reese Olson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+19.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 36 games (+16.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+13.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+3.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.10 Units / 40% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+11.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 58 games (+4.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.00 Units / 14% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 26-31 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -10.09% ROI).
- 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.05% ROI
- 30-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 11.34% ROI
- 21-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.4 Units / -20.74% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 26-32 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -13.87% ROI).
- 29-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -2.82% ROI
- 22-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -19.98% ROI
- 32-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 12.39% ROI
Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dominic Smith (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Vaughn Grissom (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cooper Criswell (BOS) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .139 (14-for-101) against Reese Olson this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (20 Total Bases / 101 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Reese Olson since the 2022 season is 416.9 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Opponents are hitting just .095 (7-for-74) against Reese Olson versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cooper Criswell has allowed a slugging percentage of .432 (41 Total Bases / 95 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 0 Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (116/203) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has allowed 5 home runs with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has an average fastball velocity of just 89.2 MPH this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are 12-8 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are 67-26 (.720) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Tigers are just 26-145 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are just 49-64 (.434) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Red Sox are just 3-165 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 45-57 (.441) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Red Sox are just 39-69 (.361) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .653 (10,677 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Tigers are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Tigers are batting just .221 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 160 strikeouts in 559 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have 898 strikeouts in 3,684 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,684 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 626 of 8,190 batters (8%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 291 of 3,381 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 31 of 519 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 150 of 2,150 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.4 MPH (1,426 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 67 times since last season — fewest in MLB.
Red Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
Bet now on Tigers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
