- The Red Sox are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Tigers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSDT | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-150) on Sunday, June 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Tigers are 28-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 27-32 ATS.
Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-3, 4.68 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 6-2, 4.22 ERA
Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -110 | +125 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -110 | -150 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+20.50 Units / 342% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.25 Units / 111% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+18.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 37 games (+15.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+11.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 50% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.10 Units / 22% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 59 games (+5.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 26-32 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -11.22% ROI).
- 28-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -6.55% ROI
- 31-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.7 Units / 12.79% ROI
- 21-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.5 Units / -22.17% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 27-32 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -12.32% ROI).
- 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.35% ROI
- 23-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -18.1% ROI
- 32-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 10.5% ROI
Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Garrett Cooper (BOS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Garrett Cooper (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Red Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Dominic Smith (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize (DET) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .383 (31-for-81) against Casey Mize when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .366 (41-for-112) against Casey Mize this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
Casey Mize has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to May 4th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 9% (8 SO in 86 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (140/231) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Brayan Bello has allowed a slugging percentage of .786 (22 Total Bases / 28 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .357 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (118/629) against Brayan Bello on pitches in the strike zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (65/405) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are just 24-97 (.198) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Tigers are just 26-146 (.151) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are 43-16 (.729) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .617.
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are just 3-165 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are 84-7 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Red Sox are just 23-95 (.195) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Red Sox are 88-5 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,704 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .670 (6,973 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (6,973 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 161 strikeouts in 565 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have 529 strikeouts in 2,143 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .253 on pitches out of the zone since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 152 of 2,153 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 292 of 3,389 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 151 of 2,183 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 32 of 528 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Red Sox pitchers this season is 390.3 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 395.8
Red Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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