- The Tigers are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Tigers vs Rockies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Tigers / Rockies TV Channel: FDDT | ROTV
The Detroit Tigers (-180) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Thursday, May 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
This season, the Tigers are 23-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 12-23 ATS.
Tigers vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 5-1, 2.73 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-4, 5.70 ERA
Tigers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 -115 | O 9.5 -105 | -180 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 9.5 -115 | +145 |
Tigers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+20.40 Units / 408% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+8.80 Units / 126% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+14.80 Units / 148% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Kyle Freeland has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+12.28 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.92 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 23-13 against the Run Line (+9.55 Units / 20.74% ROI).
- 23-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 16.63% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -3.81% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -4.12% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-23 against the Run Line (-13 Units / -31.52% ROI).
- 6-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -56.1% ROI
- 12-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -31.55% ROI
- 22-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.75 Units / 22.64% ROI
Rockies vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rockies vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alan Trejo (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rockies vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Rockies vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has allowed a .480 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for 10th worst)– 11th Percentile and just .274 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh best among qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Casey Mize allowed a batting average of .293 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– sixth Percentile and just .145 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 95th Percentile.
Casey Mize has struck out just 11% (9/79) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Casey Mize has allowed an OPS of 1.324 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .629 — first Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .345 (41-for-119) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .345 (41-for-119) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .674 (89 Total Bases / 132 ABs) on changeups since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: .368 — first Percentile.
32% of Kyle Freeland’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — fifth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Tigers are 15-66 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 21-64 (.247) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Tigers are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .875.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rockies are just 56-9 (.848) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Rockies are just 6-28 (.176) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Rockies are just 107-15 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 88-36 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of .333 (958 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .283 (3,209 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Tigers are batting just .133 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .263 (1,445 PA’s) when leading off an inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 409.4 feet since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .635 (6,651 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 1.74 (145.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.76.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (1764.1 IP) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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