- The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Royals TV Channel: FS1 | BSDT | BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Monday, May 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Tigers are 23-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 30-18 ATS.
Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-4, 2.06 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 3-4, 4.72 ERA
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 +100 | -105 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -120 | -115 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+13.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 28 games (+20.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+18.55 Units / 66% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+17.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+7.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+6.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.10 Units / 48% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.34 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 21-25 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -8.91% ROI).
- 23-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -3.84% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 4.71% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -13.99% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 30-18 against the Run Line (+8.74 Units / 13.25% ROI).
- 29-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 19.93% ROI
- 17-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -26.47% ROI
- 28-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.35 Units / 18.07% ROI
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .228 (38 Total Bases / 167 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .284 (23 Total Bases / 81 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .525 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .117 (11-for-94) against Reese Olson this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .067 against Reese Olson this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .338 (24-for-71) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (116/227) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (18/74) against Michael Wacha this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of .392 (79 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .285 — fourth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 63-69 (.477) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Tigers are 65-25 (.722) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Tigers are just 22-91 (.195) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Tigers are just 21-30 (.412) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 14-88 (.137) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 21-48 (.304) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Royals are just 38-18 (.679) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,348 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .651 (10,348 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,772 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals won just 38% of games in which they have scored first on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (610.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Tigers pitchers have walked 282 of 3,286 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 120 of 1,697 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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