- The Tigers are -120 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Royals TV Channel: FDDT | FDKC
The Detroit Tigers (-120) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+100) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Tigers are 37-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 30-27 ATS.
Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 6-1, 2.47 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 3-4, 3.04 ERA
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -110 | -120 |
| Royals | +1.5 -180 | U 8.5 -110 | +100 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.10 Units / 90% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+8.70 Units / 145% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 57 games (+17.33 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 54 games (+17.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 56 games (+13.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 56 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 57 games (+26.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games (+16.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+10.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+8.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 32-25 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 5.93% ROI).
- 37-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +14 Units / 17.19% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -5.14% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -2.44% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 30-27 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -6.59% ROI).
- 30-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 4.8% ROI
- 20-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.02 Units / -30.64% ROI
- 36-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.95 Units / 22.03% ROI
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize (DET) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .338 (52-for-154) against Casey Mize versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .160 (4-for-25) against Casey Mize on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .342 — 98th Percentile.
Casey Mize has struck out just 15% (47/322) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 17% (57/341) against Casey Mize in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .152 (5-for-33) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 98th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a first-pitch in-zone of 68% (152/225) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — 100th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (72/225) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (11/81) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 32-6 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Tigers were 36-5 (.878) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Tigers are 15-71 (.174) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 6-64 (.086) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Royals are just 18-89 (.168) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .362 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .771 (615 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .659 (1,395 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Tigers batted just .229 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .681 (3,468 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (940.2 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (241.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Royals pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Tigers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
